How To Handicap College Football
Welcome to the most comprehensive NCAA football betting guide on the planet!
We’ve compiled an exhaustive list of resources with one goal in mind: to help you win more of your wagers!
While stats and trends can help in your handicapping, there is no better tool than actually watching the games on TV and picking up how teams play. BET ON COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAMES USING A CREDIT CARD AT THE WEB’S BIGGEST ONLINE FOOTBALL BOOKIE: BOVADA. How to Handicap College Football Coaching Changes. The end of each college football season means that there are a stunning number of coaching changes. Guys are fired because they don't meet expectations, and the dominoes start to fall as people move up to better jobs, coordinators become coaches, and so on. Handicapping NFL and college football is an exercise in discipline and time management. To put it plainly, you reap what you sow. If you've put in an hour of handicapping for the week, your results will reflect that. Some handicappers feel that cramming is the best approach: spending an entire evening studying all available info and stats.
There’s No Such Thing as Too Much Quality Information
To be sure, you need to find quality information, however, we belive that the more knowledge you acquire about betting, in general, not to mention the individual games you are going to bet on, the better the chance is that you will win your bets.
Start Handicapping Like the ProsMost square bettors simply take the information they hear sports talk radio, TV, podcasts, and other mainstream media and use it to handicap games. Oddsmakers know how to use public perception to their advantage. Don’t be just another square, get informed and learn how to win.
We are hear to help! This page is constantly being updated with great new sources to help you beat the sportsbooks every season!
Our Ultimate List of Resources
Chapter 1: A Deeper Look Inside the Odds
Chapter 2: How to Use Power Ratings to Create Your Own Spreads
Chapter 3: Using Matchup Analysis & Information on the Web
Chapter 4: Power of Home Field Advantage & Motivation
Chapter 5: Impact of Scheduling & Rest
How To Handicap A Football Game
Chapter 6: Importance of Injury & Weather Reports
Chapter 7: Handicapping Conference vs Non-Conference Games
Football Handicapping Websites
Chapter 8: Tips for Betting Conference Championships & Bowl Games
Chapter 9: Tools for Profiting on Future Odds, Teasers, Prop Bets, & In-Game Wagering
Each Saturday there are over 40 college football games available to wager on. The odds are posted with options for the side, total, and money line selections, so there are over 120 wagers offered by sportsbooks. Many people get overwhelmed and just pick games that are most talked about by the television networks. Some other popular methods include betting on the local team or picking the winner in the primetime game on television. However, these methods do not typically lead to long term betting success, and they limit potential opportunities. I am going to discuss some of the ways that I like to dissect the weekend card before making my picks.
Finding an Upset
First, my favorite method is to look at the top 25 rankings and make a list of every possible team that could get upset. The AP and Coaches Top 25 rankings are far from the best 25 teams in the country. These polls are a joke, which is why ranked teams are routinely upset. Reporters know little to nothing about football, and some coaches have their graduate assistants fill out the rankings. Other coaches have hidden agendas when filling out their rankings, or they don’t care and spend less than 5 minutes on the poll. Another reason why this method is profitable is because many of these teams are average or over inflated. They might have gone through an easy stretch of games, played a cluster of weak opponents, etc. Now these ranked teams have become the hunted, facing teams hungry to upset the more publicized team. Last weekend, there were several ranked teams that lost outright. Fresno State, Connecticut, Auburn, Wisconsin, and Oregon all lost outright. In addition, Alabama and Kansas failed to cover against unranked opponents, but they were able to narrowly avoid the upset.
Home Underdogs
Another way to approach a card is to make a list of every home underdog and decide which teams are most capable of winning outright. Home teams in college football have a tremendous advantage, especially if they don’t even have to win the game outright to cash your card. There are a number of things that a team must have in order for a team to win on the road and cover the spread as a favorite. Strong quarterback play, a disciplined team, good coaching, and a solid defense are the things that a road favorite must have if they have a chance to cover. Most teams in college football don’t have all of those pieces. Boston College, Kansas, Maryland, and Auburn all failed to cover on the road as favorites. They all lack several of the key pieces to cover on the road as a favorite. Two out of the four teams even lost outright. Meanwhile, Texas, Penn State, and Oklahoma were all able to cover as road favorites because they are much stronger overall teams.
These examples are just two of the ways to approach a Saturday college football card, but these two methods will lead to profitable opportunities each week and all season long. The bottom line is don’t become overwhelmed with the number of games being offered. Use these two simple ways to break down the card and find excellent opportunities.