Horse Racing Prop Bets
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The Kansas City Chiefs square off with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl 55 in Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida at 6:30 p.m. ET. One of the most decorated Super Bowl traditions is the extensive and exquisite Super Bowl prop bet menu, which ranges from coin flip results to who will score the last touchdown and everything else in between.
The stage is set, the Super Bowl odds are moving around and our Super Bowl prediction is set; now its time to focus on some profitable 2021 Super Bowl prop bets to consider to add some extra excitement to Sunday’s game.
6 top Super Bowl prop bets
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:55 p.m. ET.
Tom Brady OVER 0.5 rushing yards (+145)
Obviously, Tom Brady brings a lot to the table but one of the things he’s mastered is the Art of the QB Sneak.
What generally happens when Brady shows off his sneaker-y is he hits a wide receiver on 3rd and long who gets stopped right at the sticks then Brady rushes to the line in order to catch the defense before it can get its heavy personnel on the field. If there was some crazy prop or derivative market on BetMGM where I could bet on this specific outcome, I’d place that bet at +10000 or greater.
Another factor in this bet is my personal Chiefs-Buccaneers handicap, which says Kansas City wins Super Bowl 55. If the Buccaneers aren’t winning at the end of this game, then Brady isn’t taking knees that could affect his rushing yardage. That would be a crappy way to lose this bet. But, Brady has rushed for one or more yards in six of his 11 career playoff losses.
Whether it be the way stated earlier or some other GOAT–scamper, Brady is going Over 0.5 rushing yards.
Chiefs to call first timeout (-110)
Brady is the GOAT and as prepared for championship moments as any American athlete ever. Essentially that greatly reduces a mental lapse from Tampa Bay’s offense and Brady having to use an early timeout.
Chiefs head coach Andy Reid is notoriously terrible at play clock management. Like, Reid was comically bad and everyone clowned on him. But, since he got the heir apparent to the QB GOAT, Patrick Mahomes, and won a Super Bowl, apparently all is forgotten.
Finally, the Chiefs have some injuries along the offensive line and Mahomes didn’t lock in until the second half of last year’s Super Bowl. Maybe this is far too much for a random prop but that’s what we are here for.
LISTEN:Hear Esten McLaren and myself on the latest Bet Slippin’ Podcast, the Super Bowl edition.
Chiefs S Tyrann Mathieu OVER 4.5 combined tackles (-115)
This was my best bet in last year’s Super Bowl (it might have been Mathieu Over 5.5 combined tackles), and he covered. Do you know why that is? It’s because the Honey Badger is great at football.
Mathieu has been one of the best defensive backs in the sport since he played college ball at LSU. And he’s always been a big-time player. For instance, Mathieu has six or more combined tackles in five of his seven career playoff games and in each of his bowl games in college.
Furthermore, the Honey Badger had five or more combined tackles in 10 of his 17 regular-season and playoff games this year, including against the Buccaneers in Week 12. Mathieu is a defensive Swiss Army knife who shows up in big games and he’ll be all over the field in the Big Game.
Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill OVER 5.5 rushing yards (-105)
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Simple napkin and smartphone math gives this prop some value: Hill averages 8.4 rushing yards per game and 7.4 yards per attempt over his 74 career games. Granted, it’s not like BetMGM‘s team didn’t factor that into their prop pricing, just saying.
There’s additional value in my opinion due to the fact that Tampa Bay’s rush defense was one of the top units this season and Kansas City’s running back production has waned in recent weeks due in large part to the aforementioned injuries to the offensive line and to the running backs.
Reid has a track record of dialing up gadget plays and end-arounds, heck he called one in the AFC Championship for WR Mecole Hardman, who ripped off a 50-yard run. Also, Reid didn’t use a Hill end-around in the Week 12 game vs. the Buccaneers so he could pull that trick in the Super Bowl.
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Buccaneers WR Antonio Brown OVER 18.5 yards longest reception (-120)
Horse Racing Prop Bets
We have to visit Narrative-Ville for this prop handicap because the recent numbers don’t really support Brown’s Over chances here.
So, TB and AB are bros, everyone knows that. TB allowed AB to stay with him when AB played for the New England Patriots for one game last season and they roomed together again earlier this season at Derek Jeter’s Tampa mansion.
And regardless of what anyone thinks of AB the person, AB the football player is an all-time wide receiver. He’s only played in one Super Bowl for the Pittsburgh Steelers in his rookie season, which Pittsburgh lost and AB had only one catch for three yards.
Reports indicate that AB “looked good” in practice this week and you know if he’s out there, his buddy TB is going to try to get him involved. Tampa Bay has two elite wide receivers and slot WR Scotty Miller has proven to be a weapon for the Bucs.
Finally, the prop market is generally sharper than sides and totals even though that’s not always the case in the Super Bowl since everyone bets the Super Bowl in a variety of ways. However, AB’s Over in his longest reception prop being more expensive does give me a little confidence the House wants Under action.
Also see:
Chiefs vs. Buccaneers odds, picks and predictionSuper Bowl Prop BetsBox Bet Horse Racing
Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes OVER 329.5 passing yards (-120)
This one is at the bottom of my little props sheet here because it’s by far the squarest prop of them all. In fact, you know what I just wrote above about everyone betting the Super Bowl?
Well, most of Joe Public is going to take Mahomes Over his passing yards prop. Even people who like the Bucs to win the Super Bowl might hedge with Mahomes Over passing yards or just like the prop in general.
Although, I got a few reasons why I’m willing to head into Square-Ville for this prop. First, the Chiefs rushing offense is mediocre entering this game and Tampa’s rushing defense is elite. If that’s the case, why wouldn’t Reid spread out the offense and rely on Mahomes to sling it?
Second, which adds to my first point, in Week 12 against the Bucs, Mahomes passed for the second-most yards for a game in his career with the seventh-highest completion percentage.
Lastly, during the Bet Slippin’ Podcastepisode handicapping the NFL Week 6 slate (1:13:06-1:14:50), when discussing the Chiefs-Bills game, I mentioned my theory that the Chiefs “saves their good plays for quality teams”.
The Super Bowl is the ultimate kitchen-sink game and I’m looking forward to Reid and Mahomes putting on a show.
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NFL Wire:
Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill says Patrick Mahomes is ‘throwing crazy dots’ in practice (Chiefs Wire)Tom Brady’s list of Super Bowl records is just ridiculous (Bucs Wire)Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
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A proposition bet in sports betting are more commonly known as a “prop bet.” This kind of betting is very popular overseas. It is now one of the fastest-growing segments of the sports betting industry in the United States. The growth of prop betting at online sportsbooks is evolving and constantly changing as new legal betting states open up new kinds of opportunities.
Some prop bets may sometimes appear to be similar to futures bets. The difference between the two bets is that a prop bet is a wager on an individual player or specific event. However, the majority of prop bets at a sportsbook are on individual players and not the entire team during a game. Both opportunities may be available depending on the game.
Prop bet search tool
Looking for a player or team to bet on in any sport? Use our search tool below to find the different ways to bet, along with the best available odds at sportsbooks in the US.
Prop betting origins
Prop bets became popular in the United States with the Super Bowl. The specific explosion of prop betting started at the Westgate in Las Vegas (previously known as Las Vegas Hilton). The team at the Las Vegas SuperBook was the first Nevada sportsbook operator to offer a large number of prop bets for an individual game.
Today, all sportsbook operators in Nevada offer hundreds of Super Bowl prop bets, and online sportsbook operators in New Jersey(like DraftKings Sportsbook pictured above), Pennsylvania and more legalized states have followed.
Prop betting started modestly with the Super Bowl but continues to grow. Some sportsbook operators offer prop bets every week during the pro football season. Fewer sportsbook operators offer prop bets every day for other sports. The evolution of prop betting in United States sportsbooks is taking the wagers off the field.
Types of prop bets
MLB
Common prop bets placed on the MLB include the most common stats like ERA, home runs, stolen bases, strikeouts, hits, RBI, and others. These props can include individual game performance, performance over a specific period (a month, playoff series, etc.), or performance over the course of an entire season (regular, post, or both).
NFL
NFL props come in two common variations– per game and total. The most popular props for the NFL are player props like touchdown passes, rushing yards, receptions, interceptions, etc. However, these can also fall under team props like rushing yards allowed per game, turnovers, and passing efficiency. Obscure props are popular mostly during Super Bowls but can range from penalties to the color of Gatorade used by the winning team.
NFL Passing Props
NFL Rushing Props
NFL Receiving Props
NBA
Popular props bet on in the NBA include common statistics like points, rebounds, blocks, assists, and turnovers per game; as well as metrics like shooting percentage, three point attempts, and fouls per game. Team props can include shooting percentages, points in the paint, and free throw attempts. Like the NFL and MLB, these can range from an individual game to over a period of time (series, season, etc.).
NHL
The most common prop bets on the NHL include goals, saves, and assists; other statistics like penalty minutes and ice time are popular bets, as well. First player to score a goal, team assist numbers, and faceoff wins are more obscure yet accessible bets to make over an individual game, week, series, or season.
College football
College football prop bets closely mirror NFL props in stats (passing yards, tackles, etc.), but often see more extreme totals. For example, Memphis might have a higher over/under in yards per game than, say, the Buffalo Bills, due to a wider talent gap in college.
College basketball
College basketball prop bets also closely mirror the NBA props in stats (points per game, steals, etc.). Unlike college football, college basketball sees a decrease in props related to game performance (example, a player or team’s points per game are projected to be lower than NBA due to talent gaps). When betting on NCAAB prop bets on team totals, it’s important to remember that college basketball plays under 40 games per regular season, whereas the NBA plays 82.
Exotic prop bets
Exotic prop bets are only offered by some sportsbooks around the world. These non-traditional prop bets are not necessarily based on activities that take place during a game. The most popular of these exotic prop bets, such as the length of the national anthem or the coin toss results, happen during the Super Bowl.
These props can be as outlandish as the sportsbook operator wants them to be. They usually take place during the most publicly popular events such as a Royal Wedding in the United Kingdom or who will play a specific role in a movie series.
Horse Racing Prop Bets Games
While they may be fun, most of these kinds of exotic proposition bets are not legal in America. This could change in Nevada and in other states that may legalize sports betting.
Personal prop bets
Proposition betting doesn’t only take place in a sportsbook. Bets with a friend for random activities also fall into the category of a prop bet. For example, a bet that a friend can’t finish 40 pushups during a game of poker might be considered a personal prop bet between friends.