Goal Market Prediction
Half with Most Goals betting involves predicting which will half will produce most goals in a match or whether both halves will see an equal number of goals.
On the Over 2.5 goals prediction market, bets win when 3 or more goals are scored in a match, regardless of which team scores. In addition, bets on the outcome of under 2.5 goals market where 2 or fewer goals are scored. 90 minutes & stoppage/injury time, but not extra time or penalties are apply to the market. VIP STORES (SENT VIA EMAIL). We optimise our soccer predictions and tips for maximum flexibility and convenience, with categories catering to different betting markets such as both teams to score (BTTS), over 1.5, over 2.5 goals, over 3.5 goals, 1st half goals, double chance, fulltime handicap, accumulators, Chance Mix, Combo, highest scoring half, win either half, win. Cheapgoals Best prediction site? Predictions: Our objective is, of course, different from all other football prediction platforms around the world. If you are a punter who stakes hard-earned money on specific markets, Cheapgoals have simplified the process for you by presenting the several markets and offering them in the simplest way ever.
Global Goal Setting Software Report offers market size, share, overview, segmentation by types, application, countries, key manufactures, cost analysis, industrial chain, sourcing strategy, downstream buyers, marketing strategy analysis, distributors/traders, factors affecting market, forecast and other important information for key insight.
- Half With Most Goals Predictions: Get ahead of the game with insider half with most goals prediction knowledge.
- Half With Most Goals Statistics: Find out how to use data to your advantage in your half with most goals bets.
- Half With Most Goals Strategy: Check out the best tips for creating your own half with most goals betting strategy.
- Half With Most Goals Meaning: Learn all about half with most goals betting and how to place this type of bet.
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What's in this article
Half with Most Goals Predictions
Making predictions is the foundation of all bets, and whilst it is impossible to be 100% sure of the outcome of a bet, there are several ways to increase the reliability of your half with most goals bets and improve your chances of winning. Taking a data driven statistical approach to betting helps to reduce your own personal biases when making predictions and provides a clear picture of where the different teams stand. There are many sites available which provide constantly updated half with most goals stats but our top favourites are 1x2stats and TheStatsDontLie.
Developing a comprehensive betting strategy is also vital when making your half with most goals prediction and can heavily influence your chances of making the correct bets. In this article we will discuss important statistics as well as how to develop your own strategy so that you can make the most accurate half with most goals prediction possible.
Half with Most Goals Stats
Looking at market statistics is one of the most important aspects of betting on the half with most goals in a match as these can provide a clear and reliable picture of which teams are likely to score during different parts of a game.
During the 2018/19 season, in the top European leagues there was an average of 42% of goals scored in the first half and an average of 58% scored in the second half. This shouldn’t come as a surprise since the first half is when teams are settling into the game and the second half is when most games are decided. The bookmakers reflect this statistic as betting sites consistently assign higher odds to the most goals scored in the first half and lower odds to most goals in the second half.
When it comes down to each and every team however, the statistics are not always so consistent with some teams having above-average rates of scoring in the second half, such as Crystal Palace with 68% and Tottenham with 60%.
Sticking with the English Premier League, in the first 26 games of the 2019/20 season, Manchester United scored more goals in the first and second half on 6 occasions each, and scored the same number of goals in each half in a whopping 13 matches (that’s 50% of all their games so far!). On the other hand, Tottenham and Manchester City rarely seem to score the same number of goals in each half with only 8% and 16% respectively.
Whether a team is playing home and away also seems to have an influence on the time that a team scores their goals. Crystal Palace, Leicester City, and Sheffield United have scored 62% of their goals in the second half when playing at home, meanwhile Chelsea and Aston Villa have also scored 62% of their goals in the second half when playing away from home.
Half with Most Goals Strategy for successful predictions
Like any other bet, there are many factors which may affect the number of goals in the first or second half. We have put together a few strategies which revolve around statistics and the teams and competitions that you are considering wagering on.
Use Statistics to Your Advantage
Building on what we mentioned in the previous section, you can use statistics to your advantage when making a half with most goals prediction. Looking at the example mentioned, we can see that Leicester City score most of their goals in the second half when playing at home while Chelsea score most of their goals in the second half when playing away. This tells us that when Leicester City and Chelsea play each other at the King Power stadium, there will be a very high chance of the second half getting more goals than the first half. Stats can really come in handy for these types of bets because the information is based on solid data, and the more games that are played, the more accurate this data becomes. You should always aim to use statistics as part of your Half with Most Goals strategy.
Teams
By far the most important part of your Half with Most Goals strategy will come from the teams which you choose to bet on. All teams have their own unique style of play and, as we have seen in the previous stats section, all have different records when it comes to their first half and second half goal rates. For this reason, it is very important to do your research on the teams you are interested in betting on. You should identify which teams have a tendency to start a game strongly and then gradually fade out, which teams start the match slowly and then up their game in the second half, and which teams seem to play out the match with equal performance levels.
The context within which the teams are playing is also an important factor to consider. There is always a lot on the line when top teams play against each other or against their arch-rivals in a derby and more often than not, games like these will see an above average amount of goals in both halves.
Competitions
Following on the importance of context when choosing your half with most goals bets, the competition in which the match is taking place can also have very significant effects on the goal turnout. Different competitions have different stakes, and while we expect teams to give their all in each match that they play, some games have far more at stake.
For much of the Premier League, for example, knowing that there are so many more games to be played, teams might not have the biggest urgency to get goals in the final stages of a game, especially if the other team is dominating play. On the other hand, high pressure tournaments such as the knockout stages of the Champions League or World Cup, where a team simply must score more goals in order to qualify, can make all the difference in terms of how many goals are scored in each half.
Taking into consideration the away goal rule in tournaments is also very important to consider, as teams who are playing away from home are usually more likely to be on the offence in order to snatch that crucial away goal. In addition to this, if there is a chance that a match might end up going to extra time and penalties, teams (especially those who are underperforming or suffering from fatigue) might actually try to conserve their energy in the final minutes of the game to prepare for extra time – making late second half goals less likely.
Half with Most Goals Meaning
Making a Half with Most Goals prediction is one of the more straightforward bets that you can choose to make. Whilst the majority of betting sites give you the choice to bet on whether the Half with Most Goals will be the first half, the second half or equal, other bookies can offer it in the form of more goals, less goals or same goals, while others will display two selections to choose from (1st or 2nd half) and in the event of the equal goals in both halves, the bet will be void.
To explain this bet type further, let’s say there is a Premier League match between Arsenal and Chelsea. Arsenal go on to win the match 3-0 with goals scored in the 7th, 40th, and 86th minutes.
As you can see, 2 out of the 3 goals were scored in the first half which means that anybody who made a highest scoring first half prediction, will win their bets. If either Arsenal or Chelsea happened to score another goal in the second half however, then both halves would have had the same amount of goals and anybody who predicted equal goals in each half would have been the winner. It’s that simple.
Over 2.5 Goals Prediction Venasbet.com Venasbet Predictions
It is important to note that Half with Most Goals bets are valid for the whole 90 minutes of a match plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Any goals scored after this, in extra time or penalties, will not count towards your Half with Most Goals bets.
What Bet Types Can I Use Instead of Half with Most Goals?
If you are interested in wagering a Half With More Goals bet, but for whatever reason you are having doubts about applying to a particular match, we have compiled a list of other bet types which are similar to Half with Most Goals betting for you to enjoy.
Both Teams to Score in First or Second Half (BTTS)
Most bettors will be familiar with the popular both teams to score market, but did you know that many betting sites offer you the chance to bet on both teams to score in only the first or second half? If you want to bet on a game where two teams are likely to battle it out but are uncertain about which half will have the most goals, BTTS in the first or second half could be a great substitute for your predictions.
Half-Time Score
In this market you can bet on what you think the exact score will be by half time. It is essentially like betting on the full-time score but applies to only the first half. A market like this offers increased odds compared to full time bets since first halves are known for having less goals and could prove to be ideal when placed on teams who are known for starting games very strong and bagging early goals.
A Goal Scored in Both Halves
This market is a yes or no type of bet where you predict whether there will be a goal scored in both halves or not. It does not matter whether all the goals in this bet will be scored by the same team or by different teams. Naturally, the odds of correctly predicting a goal in both halves will be fairly low however this could still be a nice addition to your bet slip if you are confident that there will numerous goals spread throughout the game.
First/Second Half Home/Away Teams Goals Markets
A variation of over/under betting, these are actually a series of markets where you can choose to predict whether the home or away team in a match will score over or under a certain amount of goals, and whether these goals will come in the first or second half. Typical submarkets include betting on over/under 0.5 goals, 1.5 goals, 2.5 goals, 3.5 goals or 4.5 goals with the odds being assigned accordingly.
Final Words
Making correct Half With Most Goals predictions can be very tricky since there are three possible outcomes which are not always dictated by the form of the teams that are playing. Always remember that the basis of making this type of bet is to research statistics so that you can have a more accurate idea of when teams are more likely to score their goals. You should also research the teams and competitions which you are betting on and take into consideration the effect that these might have on the number of goals scored in each half. Play on this market by placing a Free Bet. Good luck!
Football is all about goals, and punters love backing their favourite team scoring. As traders, this is something we can take advantage of.
In this guide, we will look at the over and under goals markets from a football trading perspective.
Table of Contents
What Is The Over / Under Goals Market?
We will mostly be talking about the over 2.5 or under 2.5 goals markets in this guide, as they tend to be the most popular.
In football trading, popular is good because popular = more liquidity. The more money moving through a market, the quicker your bet should be matched, and the less chance you have of not getting a bet matched.
We will also be using Betfair as our trading platform, for the same reason. There are other betting exchanges, such as Smarkets, which can offer good liquidity at times, but Betfair tends to be the most reliable for now.
This is what the over/under goals market looks like on Betfair. As you can see, there are quite a few different options to bet on.
Some beginners get confused by the whole 0.5 thing. Bookmakers use it to clear up any confusion when bets are being settled. If 3 goals are scored in a match, that is over 2.5, and under 3.5.
As usual, there is the option to both back and lay for each individual market. This is the reason we are using a betting exchange. Being able to back and then lay (or vice-versa) allows us to trade out of our original position when the time is right.
How Does The Over / Under Goals Market Work?
For punters, the over goals markets tend to be more popular than the under goals markets, because everyone loves to see goals.
As traders, we can take advantage of this, but first, it helps to understand how the markets work.
The Under Goals Market
We can predict the way the market will move for both the over and under goals markets. This is due to the fact that a football match is a fixed-time market, and will end after 90 minutes + stoppage time.
Let’s consider the under 2.5 goals market. In a goalless match, the odds for under 2.5 goals will slowly drop over the course of the game until they reach 1.0 at the end of the match. As time passes with nobody scoring, the likelihood of there being less than 3 goals increases.
This is known as the time decay for a sporting event. We can take advantage of this effect to trade for a quick profit, but we will discuss trading tactics later on.
Over 2.5 Goals Predictions Today
The Over Goals Market
Just as with the under goals market, we can predict the way the over goals market will move over the course of a game.
Unlike the under goals market, in a goalless match, the odds for over 2.5 goals will do the opposite and increase over the course of the game.
However, whenever a goal does go in, the odds will drop sharply before they begin rising again. For the over 2.5 goals market, the odds will drop twice, and each time start rising again, but then of course once a third goal goes in, the market is closed.
The rate at which the odds will fall and rise depends on the time at which goals are scored, which team is favoured in the match, and any injuries or red cards.
Now we have an idea of how the markets will move, we can start to think about how we will approach the market from a trading perspective.
Should You Trade Pre-Match Or In-Play?
There are advantages and disadvantages of both trading pre-match and in-play. The most important factor is whether or not you can confidently predict the direction that a given price will move.
Most trading for the over/under goals markets is done in-play. However, if an opportunity to find value arises pre-match, it should definitely be taken.
Let’s say you hear a tip-off that Leo Messi is moving gingerly in training. Depending on Barcelona’s opponent for the game, the match odds may not change or may change by only a very small margin. However, you may be able to find value in the goals markets.
As soon as most people realise that he may be injured, the price for over 2.5 goals in the next Barcelona match will probably shorten.
If you can get in before the price moves, you can make a quick profit by trading out after the price move.
Under 2.5 Goals Trading Strategy
A common tactic is to back under 2.5 goals before the start of the match (or right after the first whistle) and then trade out of your position by laying under 2.5 goals after around 10-15 mins.
This tactic, of course, relies on no goals being scored in the first 10-15 minutes of the game.
If no goals are scored, then the odds should have shortened due to the time decay. This means you can lock in a profit no matter what the actual outcome is.
If a goal is scored early on, then it is often better to trade out immediately and take the loss. Being able to take a smaller loss rather than lose your entire stake is a key part of trading that you need to get used to.
You can also trade around goals. As discussed earlier, whenever we can predict the way the market will move, there is profit to be made.
Another common tactic is to look for games where a goal is scored early on. As soon as the goal goes in, back under 2.5 goals for the highest odds available. Due to the early nature of the goal, the odds should increase by a decent margin.
Wait for around 5 minutes while the time decay takes effect. You should then be able to safely trade out by laying under 2.5 goals, looking to make around 5% of your stake as profit.
Again, if another goal goes in before you trade out, you should close out of your position and take the partial loss.
Of course, there are other strategies you can use instead of immediately closing out of your position. Many traders will close out of their position, which means you can take advantage of the price movement caused by traders leaving the market.
The most successful traders make their money by predicting what the majority of other traders will do in a given situation.
Any tactic that involves extending your exposure is, by definition, more risky. Only try this when you have more experience with the goals markets, and we recommend never staking more than 10% of your bank.
Over 2.5 Goals Trading Strategy
As we discussed previously, the price for over 2.5 goals trends upwards over the course of a game.
Whenever a goal goes in, the price will drop sharply. Therefore, the ideal situation for us to be in is to enter the market right before a goal is scored by backing over 2.5 goals.
When the price then drops, we can exit our position by laying over 2.5 goals at the new lower price. We can also take this opportunity to hedge our position by laying a slightly higher stake than our original back stake.
Football Betting, Accumulators, Tips & Odds Goal.com
As you can see, we would make around £3 whatever the outcome.
How can we make sure we enter the market right before a goal is scored?
Chelsea
Unfortunately, we can never know for sure when a goal is going to be scored. There are, however, a few different tactics we can use to make a good prediction.
Stats are always your friend when it comes to successful trading.
Important stats to look for when trading the over 2.5 goals market include the home and away recent form, any injuries to key players, and what is the average timing of the opening goal for both sides.
Goal Now Predictions
For this strategy, we will avoid placing our opening bet before kick-off. We need to wait as long as we can to try for the highest odds possible.
Stake-splitting is particularly useful here. Slowly drip your stake into the game whenever a goal starts looking likely. Try and use stats to your advantage.
Finally, make sure you stick to a predefined exit point. If no goal is scored, you will lose your bet.
You can minimise your losses by selecting an exit point (60 minutes is common for 2.5 goals, and 75 minutes is common for 1.5 goals) and cutting your losses at this point.
Final Tips
As always, start with small stakes until you get a feel for the market. Don’t get sucked into betting on the big matches unless you have done your homework and have the stats to support any trading you do.